BULLETIN No 6: CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT DECREASES, HEAVY RAINFALL TO CONTINUE OVER JAMAICA

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A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect as the large area of disturbed weather looms in the vicinity of Jamaica.

This means that tropical storm conditions continue to pose a possible threat to Jamaica.

A Flash Flood Warning is also effective for low-lying and flood-prone areas of southern and eastern parishes, including Westmoreland, St Elizabeth, Manchester, Clarendon, St Catherine, Kingston, St Andrew, St Thomas,
Portland and St Mary.

A Flash Flood Watch remains for other low-lying and flood-prone areas of the island.

At 10:00 a.m. Potential Tropical Cyclone Number 22 was centred near latitude 17.5 degrees North, longitude 79.1 degrees West. This is about 123 kilometres (76 miles) southwest of Negril Point or 250 kilometres (200 miles) west-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica.

The system is moving towards the northeast near 22 km/h (14 mph), and additional acceleration toward the northeast is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, the centre of the system is expected to move across Jamaica later today, and over southeastern Cuba, the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 55 km/h (35 mph), with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next couple of days; however, the chance of tropical cyclone development appears to be decreasing. In this regard, the Tropical Storm Watch for Jamaica could be lifter later this afternoon.

The poorly organized system continues to be a significant rainfall producer and flooding is expected to continue, mainly over southern and eastern parishes today and tonight. Landslides should also be expected as a result.

All small craft operators including fishers from the cays and banks are advised to remain in safe harbour until all warning messages have been lifted and wind and sea conditions have returned to normal.